-- After-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, totaled $3.06 billion in the third quarter of 2005 compared to $1.11 billion in the third quarter of 2004. The effect of catastrophes on net (loss) income per diluted share was $4.67 in the third quarter of 2005 compared to $1.59 in the third quarter of 2004. Catastrophe losses in the quarter included the impacts of Hurricanes Katrina ($3.68 billion pre-tax or $2.39 billion after-tax), Rita ($850 million pre-tax or $553 million after-tax, net of reinsurance), Dennis and Ophelia. For further information, see the Impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita section.
-- Property-Liability premiums written(1) grew 2.9% over the third quarter of 2004, driven by an increase in Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners premiums written, which grew 4.7% and 6.0%, respectively. Premiums written grew 3.7%, excluding the cost of catastrophe reinsurance programs purchased in 2005, impacts of Hurricane Katrina and business ceded to Universal Insurance Company of North America ("Universal"). Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners policies in force ("PIF") increased 3.6% and 4.4%, respectively, from September 30, 2004 levels.
-- Property-Liability underwriting loss was $3.36 billion compared to an underwriting loss of $685 million in the third quarter of 2004, due to higher catastrophes, partially offset by increased premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners loss frequencies, excluding catastrophes, and net favorable prior year reserve reestimates.
-- Allstate Financial operating income for the quarter was $156 million, an increase of 3.3% over the third quarter of 2004. Premiums and deposits(1) were $2.38 billion, a decrease of 40.8% over the third quarter of 2004 due to lower institutional product deposits and pricing actions taken to ensure adequate returns.
-- Allstate's annual operating income per diluted share guidance for 2005 (assuming the level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year) is in the range of $2.35 to $2.50, compared to the previously announced range of $6.00 to $6.40, due to the level of catastrophe losses in the third quarter of 2005.
(1) Measures used in this release that are not based on generally accepted accounting principles ("non-GAAP") are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and operating measures are defined in the "Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures" section of this document.
"For Allstate, pre-tax catastrophe losses, including claims from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, Dennis and Ophelia, were more than $4.7 billion net of reinsurance in the quarter. This represents nearly a ten-fold increase from what we would normally expect in catastrophe losses in a quarter. For Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, the company expects to handle more than 300,000 claims from customers primarily in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida and Texas.
"Allstate has nearly 4,000 claim professionals along the gulf coast working as fast and as hard as possible to bring aid to the many thousands of people impacted by the terrible hurricane season. We remain absolutely committed to helping our affected customers return to some semblance of a normal way of life as soon as possible.
"We continue working on our homeowners catastrophe management strategy through a variety of strong proactive risk management actions to better address significant potential hurricane and earthquake losses. We have made progress to reduce our exposure to catastrophe losses, but we will do much more and do it on an accelerated basis.
"In addition, it is also clear to Allstate that how this country prepares for and offers protection against mega-catastrophes must be re-thought and changed. We have all seen on our television screens that the current system is inadequate. America cannot continue to look into the rear-view mirror to manage catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes.
"We believe it's time to develop a new system to plan ahead and become better prepared for catastrophes. Allstate is aggressively pursuing a broadened dialogue and stands ready to help develop a solution that more effectively protects people, families, communities and our national economy from these horrific catastrophes.
"Absent the impact of the hurricanes, it was a strong quarter for Allstate Protection. Net written premiums were up 2.9 percent with Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners premiums written growing 4.7 percent and 6.0 percent, respectively. Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners policies in force grew 3.6 and 4.4 percent, respectively. And the retention ratio for Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners remained strong.
"Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners loss costs, excluding catastrophes, continued to trend favorably as compared to prior quarters. Frequencies continue to improve and severities remain manageable with modest levels of increase, well within our pricing assumptions. The impact of catastrophes on the third quarter combined ratio accounted for 69.4 points of the total combined ratio of 149.6, indicating the outstanding underlying profitability performance of the business.
"Allstate Financial generated operating income in the quarter of $156 million, an increase of $5 million or 3.3 percent compared to the third quarter of 2004. Non-deferred operating expenses were held flat compared to the third quarter of 2004. Total premiums and deposits were down $1.6 billion in the quarter compared to the third quarter of 2004, primarily due to declines in sales of traditional fixed annuities and the absence of opportunistic sales of institutional products. The reduced retail sales reflect our strategy to focus on improving returns.
"We continued to make significant progress on our share repurchase program in the quarter, buying back 12.1 million shares for $717 million. We have now bought back a total of 39.5 million shares this year at a total cost of $2.22 billion toward the current $4.0 billion share repurchase program to be completed in 2006."
"The effects of the 2005 hurricane season will likely be with us for some time to come as we work to settle claims and help restore our customers' lives."
-- Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners PIF increased 3.6% and 4.4%, respectively, from September 30, 2004 levels, compared to increases of 4.2% and 5.4%, respectively, in the second quarter of 2005 over the second quarter of 2004. PIF results exclude Allstate Canada.
-- The retention ratios for Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners were 90.5 and 88.5, respectively, compared to 90.9 and 88.6 in the prior year third quarter. Retention ratios exclude Allstate Canada.
-- New business premiums written for the Allstate brand standard auto increased 2.0% while homeowners declined 6.5%, as compared to the third quarter of 2004. The decline in homeowners new business premiums is primarily due to our proactive catastrophe risk management actions and competitive pressures in certain states.
-- Standard auto new business premiums grew 3.3%, excluding New Jersey. In New Jersey, we continue to experience a decline due to new entrants in the market. New business premiums written, which represented 9.2% of the total standard auto premiums written, increased in approximately 65% of the states. -- Homeowners new business premiums grew 2.8%, excluding Florida, California and New York. Declines in these markets are due to our proactive catastrophe risk management actions. New business premiums written, which represented 12.8% of the total homeowners premiums written, increased in approximately 60% of the states. We will continue our disciplined risk and pricing approach, seeking profitable growth on a market-by-market basis. For further information, see the Homeowners Catastrophe Management Strategy section.
-- Prior year net favorable reserve re-estimates totaled $150 million, resulting from a $284 million favorable re-estimate for Allstate Protection, partially offset by a $134 million unfavorable re-estimate for Discontinued Lines and Coverages. The Allstate Protection net reserve reestimate reflects lower actual claim severity trends and late reported loss development than anticipated in previous estimates. For further information, see the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section.
Allstate Financial Highlights Discussion of Results for the Three Three Months Nine Months Months Ended Ended Ended September September 30, September 30, 30, 2005 ----------------- ----------------- ------------- ($ in millions) Est. Est. 2005 2004 2005 2004 -------- -------- -------- -------- Premiums and deposits $2,377 $4,017 $10,388 $11,756 See the Allstate Financial Premiums and Deposits table. Allstate Financial 1,506 1,323 4,415 3,893 Higher revenues investment income and realized net capital gains, partially offset by lower life and annuity premiums and contract charges. Operating income 156 151 442 409 Primarily due to lower income taxes. Realized capital 17 (33) 33 (90) See the gains and Components losses, after-tax of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table. DAC and DSI (2) (15) (106) (28) Amortization amortization related to relating to certain realized capital realized gains and losses, capital after-tax gains. Cumulative effect of -- -- -- (175) change in accounting principle, after-tax Net income 154 88 304 73 Higher realized net capital gains, after-tax, and higher operating income, partially offset by higher DAC and DSI amortization related to higher realized net capital gains.
-- Investments including Separate Account assets as of September 30, 2005 increased 7.8% over September 30, 2004 primarily due to sales of fixed annuities and funding agreements.
-- As of September 30, 2005, 73% of our interest-sensitive life and fixed annuity contracts, excluding market value adjusted annuities, have a guaranteed crediting rate of 3% or higher. Of these contracts, 80% have crediting rates that are at the minimum as of September 30, 2005. For all interest-sensitive life and fixed annuity contracts, excluding market value adjusted annuities, the approximate difference between the weighted average crediting rate and the average guaranteed crediting rate is 48 basis points as of September 30, 2005 compared to 49 basis points as of June 30, 2005.
-- Total fixed annuity deposits were $1.23 billion, a decrease of 43.6% from the third quarter of 2004 and 22.2% below the second quarter of 2005. Due primarily to our strategy focused on achieving higher returns, deposits of traditional fixed annuities were $875 million, a decrease of 53.1% from the third quarter of 2004. This decrease was partially offset by deposits of equity indexed annuities of $187 million, a 27.2% increase over the third quarter of 2004.
-- Variable annuity deposits were $452 million in the quarter, an increase of 37.0% over the third quarter of 2004 and 1.5% lower than the second quarter of 2005.
-- Allstate Financial prioritizes the allocation of fixed income investments to support sales of retail products with the best sustainable growth and contribution margins and to maintain our retail market presence. There were no sales of institutional products during the quarter. Our institutional business remains opportunistic.
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30, September 30, ------------------ ------------------ ($ in millions, except per Est. Percent Est. Percent share data) 2005 2004 Change 2005 2004 Change -------- ------- -------- --------- -------- -------- Revenues Property- liability insurance premiums $6,781 $6,551 3.5 $20,201 $19,382 4.2 Life and annuity premiums and contract charges 505 508 (0.6) 1,525 1,508 1.1 Net investment income 1,457 1,333 9.3 4,264 3,906 9.2 Realized capital gains and losses 199 50 - 448 261 71.6 -------- ------- --------- -------- Total revenues 8,942 8,442 5.9 26,438 25,057 5.5 -------- ------- --------- -------- Costs and expenses Property- liability insurance claims and claims expense 8,529 5,661 50.7 16,706 13,668 22.2 Life and annuity contract benefits 395 401 (1.5) 1,209 1,174 3.0 Interest credited to contractholder funds 608 505 20.4 1,784 1,455 22.6 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 1,160 1,124 3.2 3,557 3,251 9.4 Operating costs and expenses 713 738 (3.4) 2,266 2,241 1.1 Restructuring and related charges 10 (1) - 36 26 38.5 Interest expense 85 76 11.8 251 223 12.6 -------- ------- --------- -------- Total costs and expenses 11,500 8,504 35.2 25,809 22,038 17.1 -------- ------- --------- -------- Loss on disposition of operations (4) (6) 33.3 (12) (17) 29.4 -------- ------- --------- -------- (Loss) income from operations before income tax (benefit) expense and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax (2,562) (68) - 617 3,002 (79.4) Income tax (benefit) expense (1,014) (124) - (107) 788 (113.6) -------- ------- --------- -------- (Loss) income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax (1,548) 56 - 724 2,214 (67.3) Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax - - - - (175) 100.0 -------- ------- --------- -------- Net (loss) income $(1,548) $56 - $724 $2,039 (64.5) ======== ======= ========= ======== Net (loss) income per share - Basic $(2.36) $0.10 $1.09 $2.92 ======== ======= ========= ======== Weighted average shares - Basic 654.8 692.1 666.3 698.8 ======== ======= ========= ======== Net (loss) income per share - Diluted (1) $(2.36) $0.09 $1.08 $2.90 ======== ======= ========= ======== Weighted average shares - Diluted (1) 654.8 696.8 671.9 703.5 ======== ======= ========= ======== Cash dividends declared per share $0.32 $0.28 $0.96 $0.84 ======== ======= ========= ======== (1) As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30, September 30, ------------------ ----------------- ($ in millions, except per share Est. Percent Est. Percent data) 2005 2004 Change 2005 2004 Change -------- -------- -------- ------- --------- -------- Contribution to income Operating (loss) income before the impact of restructuring and related charges $(1,644) $48 - $630 $2,122 (70.3) Restructuring and related charges, after-tax 6 (1) - 23 17 35.3 -------- -------- ------- --------- Operating (loss) income (1,650) 49 - 607 2,105 (71.2) Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax 121 37 - 288 180 60.0 DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax (2) (15) 86.7 (106) (28) - Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (1) - - - (22) - - Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax (10) (10) - (32) (21) (52.4) Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax (7) (5) (40.0) (11) (22) 50.0 Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax - - - - (175) 100.0 -------- -------- ------- --------- Net (loss) income $(1,548) $56 - $724 $2,039 (64.5) ======== ======== ======= ========= (Loss) income per share (Diluted) (2) Operating (loss) income before the impact of restructuring and related charges $(2.51) $0.08 - $0.94 $3.01 (68.8) Restructuring and related charges, after-tax 0.01 - - 0.04 0.02 100.0 -------- -------- ------- --------- Operating (loss) income (2.52) 0.08 - 0.90 2.99 (69.9) Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax 0.18 0.06 - 0.43 0.26 65.4 DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax - (0.02) 100.0 (0.16) (0.04) - Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (1) - - - (0.03) - - Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax (0.01) (0.02) 50.0 (0.05) (0.03) (66.7) Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax (0.01) (0.01) - (0.01) (0.03) 66.7 Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax - - - - (0.25) 100.0 -------- -------- ------- --------- Net (loss) income $(2.36) $0.09 - $1.08 $2.90 (62.8) ======== ======== ======= ========= Book value per share - Diluted $29.66 $30.33 (2.2) $29.66 $30.33 (2.2) ======== ======== ======= ========= (1) The non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits is for a discontinued benefit plan. (2) As prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares-diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRETAX) Three Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.) -------------------------------------------- ($ in millions) Property- Allstate Corporate Liability Financial and Other Total ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Valuation of derivative instruments $23 $(32) $- $(9) Settlements of derivative instruments 21 45 - 66 Dispositions (1) (2) 125 24 9 158 Investment write-downs (6) (10) - (16) ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total $163 $27 $9 $199 =========== ========== ========== ========== Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.) -------------------------------------------- ($ in millions) Property- Allstate Corporate Liability Financial and Other Total ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Valuation of derivative instruments $(4) $(101) $- $(105) Settlements of derivative instruments 24 54 - 78 Dispositions (1) (2) 385 122 11 518 Investment write-downs (20) (23) - (43) ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total $385 $52 $11 $448 =========== ========== ========== ========== Three Months Ended September 30, 2004 -------------------------------------------- ($ in millions) Property- Allstate Corporate Liability Financial and Other Total ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Valuation of derivative instruments $(20) $(23) $- $(43) Settlements of derivative instruments (50) (4) 1 (53) Dispositions 189 3 - 192 Investment write-downs (19) (27) - (46) ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total $100 $(51) $1 $50 =========== ========== ========== ========== Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 -------------------------------------------- ($ in millions) Property- Allstate Corporate Liability Financial and Other Total ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Valuation of derivative instruments $(23) $(49) $(1) $(73) Settlements of derivative instruments (65) (4) - (69) Dispositions 522 (9) (2) 511 Investment write-downs (34) (73) (1) (108) ----------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total $400 $(135) $(4) $261 =========== ========== ========== ========== (1) Because of the level of catastrophe losses experienced during the quarter and the possibility that we may need to have additional cash available to pay claims, we identified a portfolio of approximately $13.2 billion of securities from which we would consider selecting specific securities to sell to meet these needs. Approximately $2.0 billion of these securities were in an unrealized loss position, and, therefore, with the change in our intention to hold these investments, we recognized $15 million of anticipated disposition write-downs during the quarter. (2) Because of an anticipated rise in interest rates, as well as changes in existing market conditions and asset return assumptions, certain changes are planned within various investment portfolios impacting approximately $492 million of securities. These changes result from continued asset-liability management strategies, on-going comprehensive reviews of our portfolios, and changes being made to our strategic asset allocations. Approximately $215 million of these securities were in an unrealized loss position, and, therefore, with the change in our intention to hold these investments, we recognized $14 million of anticipated disposition write-downs during the quarter. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION SEGMENT RESULTS Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30, September 30, ------------------ ----------------- ($ in millions) Est. Est. 2005 2004 2005 2004 -------- -------- -------- --------- Property-Liability Premiums written $7,158 $6,958 $20,733 $20,032 ======== ======== ======== ========= Premiums earned $6,781 $6,551 $20,201 $19,382 Claims and claims expense (1) 8,529 5,661 16,706 13,668 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 1,029 985 3,061 2,858 Operating costs and expenses 577 592 1,787 1,767 Restructuring and related charges 9 (2) 35 21 -------- -------- -------- --------- Underwriting (loss) income (3,363) (685) (1,388) 1,068 -------- -------- -------- --------- Net investment income 454 443 1,333 1,310 Income tax (benefit) expense on operations (1,124) (167) (291) 605 -------- -------- -------- --------- Operating (loss) income (1,785) (75) 236 1,773 Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax 99 69 248 272 -------- -------- -------- --------- Net (loss) income $(1,686) $(6) $484 $2,045 ======== ======== ======== ========= Catastrophe losses $4,707 $1,706 $5,017 $2,056 ======== ======== ======== ========= Operating ratios Claims and claims expense ratio (1) 125.8 86.4 82.7 70.5 Expense ratio 23.8 24.1 24.2 24.0 -------- -------- -------- --------- Combined ratio 149.6 110.5 106.9 94.5 ======== ======== ======== ========= Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio 69.4 26.0 24.8 10.6 ======== ======== ======== ========= Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio 0.1 - 0.2 0.1 ======== ======== ======== ========= Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio 2.0 4.9 0.9 3.3 ======== ======== ======== ========= Allstate Financial Premiums and deposits $2,377 $4,017 $10,388 $11,756 ======== ======== ======== ========= Investments including Separate Accounts assets $90,787 $84,247 $90,787 $84,247 ======== ======== ======== ========= Premiums and contract charges $505 $508 $1,525 $1,508 Net investment income 974 866 2,838 2,520 Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments 14 15 49 33 Contract benefits 395 401 1,209 1,174 Interest credited to contractholder funds 608 505 1,752 1,452 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 128 116 365 353 Operating costs and expenses 142 143 454 465 Restructuring and related charges 1 1 1 5 Income tax expense on operations 63 72 189 203 -------- -------- -------- --------- Operating income 156 151 442 409 Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax 17 (33) 33 (90) DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax (2) (15) (106) (28) Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax (2) - - (22) - Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax (10) (10) (32) (21) Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax (7) (5) (11) (22) Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax - - - (175) -------- -------- -------- --------- Net income $154 $88 $304 $73 ======== ======== ======== ========= Corporate and Other Net investment income $29 $24 $93 $76 Operating costs and expenses 79 79 248 232 Income tax benefit on operations (29) (28) (84) (79) -------- -------- -------- --------- Operating loss (21) (27) (71) (77) Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax 5 1 7 (2) -------- -------- -------- --------- Net loss $(16) $(26) $(64) $(79) ======== ======== ======== ========= Consolidated net (loss) income $(1,548) $56 $724 $2,039 ======== ======== ======== ========= (1) For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, claims and claims expense and claims and claims expense ratio include the effect of $120 million or 0.6 points related to an accrual for a pending settlement of a worker classification lawsuit challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under California wage and hour laws. (2) The non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits is for a discontinued benefit plan. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS Three Months Nine Months Ended Ended September 30, September 30, ---------------- ----------------- Est. Percent Est. Percent ($ in millions) 2005 2004 Change 2005 2004 Change -------- ------- ------- -------- -------- ------- Property-Liability Underwriting Summary Allstate Protection $(3,227) $(370) - $(1,218) $1,707 (171.4) Discontinued Lines and Coverages (136) (315) 56.8 (170) (639) 73.4 -------- ------- -------- -------- Underwriting (loss) income $(3,363) $(685) - $(1,388) $1,068 - ======== ======= ======== ======== Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary Premiums written $7,158 $6,957 2.9 $20,732 $20,029 3.5 ======== ======= ======== ======== Premiums earned $6,780 $6,550 3.5 $20,201 $19,378 4.2 Claims and claims expense (1) 8,394 5,347 57.0 16,543 13,032 26.9 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 1,029 986 4.4 3,061 2,858 7.1 Operating costs and expenses 575 589 (2.4) 1,780 1,760 1.1 Restructuring and related charges 9 (2) - 35 21 66.7 -------- ------- -------- -------- Underwriting (loss) income $(3,227) $(370) - $(1,218) $1,707 (171.4) ======== ======= ======== ======== Catastrophe losses $4,707 $1,706 175.9 $5,017 $2,056 144.0 ======== ======= ======== ======== Operating ratios Claims and claims expense ratio (1) 123.8 81.6 81.9 67.3 Expense ratio 23.8 24.0 24.1 23.9 -------- ------- -------- -------- Combined ratio 147.6 105.6 106.0 91.2 ======== ======= ======== ======== Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio 69.4 26.0 24.8 10.6 ======== ======= ======== ======== Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio 0.1 - 0.2 0.1 ======== ======= ======== ======== Discontinued Lines and Coverages Underwriting Summary Premiums written $- $1 (100.0) $1 $3 (66.7) ======== ======= ======== ======== Premiums earned $1 $1 - $- $4 (100.0) Claims and claims expense 135 314 (57.0) 163 636 (74.4) Operating costs and expenses 2 2 - 7 7 - -------- ------- -------- -------- Underwriting loss $(136) $(315) 56.8 $(170) $(639) 73.4 ======== ======= ======== ======== Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the Property- Liability combined ratio 2.0 4.9 0.9 3.3 ======== ======= ======== ======== (1) For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, claims and claims expense and claims and claims expense ratio include the effect of $120 million or 0.6 points related to an accrual for a pending settlement of a worker classification lawsuit challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under California wage and hour laws. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT Three Months Nine Months Ended Ended September 30, September 30, --------------- ----------------- Est. Percent Est. Percent ($ in millions) 2005 2004 Change 2005 2004 Change ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- ------- Allstate brand Standard auto $3,901 $3,725 4.7 $11,435 $10,880 5.1 Non-standard auto 398 454 (12.3) 1,226 1,381 (11.2) ------- ------- -------- -------- Auto 4,299 4,179 2.9 12,661 12,261 3.3 Involuntary auto 35 45 (22.2) 133 183 (27.3) Commercial lines 224 222 0.9 706 694 1.7 Homeowners 1,678 1,583 6.0 4,548 4,235 7.4 Other personal lines 383 376 1.9 1,099 1,074 2.3 ------- ------- -------- -------- 6,619 6,405 3.3 19,147 18,447 3.8 Encompass brand Standard auto 305 327 (6.7) 900 932 (3.4) Non-standard auto (Deerbrook) 28 37 (24.3) 90 119 (24.4) ------- ------- -------- -------- Auto 333 364 (8.5) 990 1,051 (5.8) Involuntary auto 9 8 12.5 36 31 16.1 Homeowners 163 150 8.7 463 416 11.3 Other personal lines 34 30 13.3 96 84 14.3 ------- ------- -------- -------- 539 552 (2.4) 1,585 1,582 0.2 Allstate Protection 7,158 6,957 2.9 20,732 20,029 3.5 Discontinued Lines and Coverages - 1 (100.0) 1 3 (66.7) ------- ------- -------- -------- Property-Liability (1) $7,158 $6,958 2.9 $20,733 $20,032 3.5 ======= ======= ======== ======== Allstate Protection Standard auto $4,206 $4,052 3.8 $12,335 $11,812 4.4 Non-standard auto 426 491 (13.2) 1,316 1,500 (12.3) ------- ------- -------- -------- Auto 4,632 4,543 2.0 13,651 13,312 2.5 Involuntary auto 44 53 (17.0) 169 214 (21.0) Commercial lines 224 222 0.9 706 694 1.7 Homeowners 1,841 1,733 6.2 5,011 4,651 7.7 Other personal lines 417 406 2.7 1,195 1,158 3.2 ------- ------- -------- -------- $7,158 $6,957 2.9 $20,732 $20,029 3.5 ======= ======= ======== ======== (1) In the third quarter of 2005, growth in premiums written was negatively impacted by reinsurance transactions and Hurricane Katrina totaling 0.8%. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION PROPERTY-LIABILITY ANNUAL IMPACT OF NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED ON PREMIUMS WRITTEN (1) Three Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.) ------------------------------------------------------ Number of States Countrywide (%) (2) State Specific (%) (3) ----------- ------------------- ---------------------- Allstate brand Standard auto 6 0.1 3.8 Homeowners 4 0.6 6.6 Encompass brand Standard auto 8 0.3 2.1 Homeowners 4 0.7 4.9 Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005 (Est.) ------------------------------------------------------ Number of States Countrywide (%) (2) State Specific (%) (3) ----------- ------------------- ---------------------- Allstate brand Standard auto (4) 22 0.4 0.9 Non-standard auto 4 (0.4) (1.7) Homeowners 11 1.0 5.8 Encompass brand Standard auto 21 0.6 1.3 Homeowners 18 1.5 3.6 (1) Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to achieve a targeted return will continue to be pursued in all locations and for all products. (2) Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved as a percentage of total countrywide year-end premiums written. (3) Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved as a percentage of total year-end premiums written in those states. (4) Excluding the impact of a rate reduction in the state of New York effective July 2005, for the first nine months, the countrywide rate change is 0.7% and the state specific rate change is 2.5%. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS Three Months Ended September 30, -------------------------------------------------------- ($ in Est. Est. Est. Est. millions) 2005 2004 2005 2004 2005 2004 2005 2004 -------- -------- ------ ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- Effect of Catastrophe Losses on the Expense Premiums Earned Loss Ratio(2) Loss Ratio Ratio ----------------- ------------- ------------- ---------- Allstate brand Standard auto $3,791 $3,606 64.8 62.6 6.5 1.1 23.2 23.8 Non-standard auto 407 451 59.5 48.8 5.9 1.6 20.4 20.6 -------- -------- Auto 4,198 4,057 64.3 61.1 6.4 1.2 22.9 23.4 Homeowners 1,441 1,347 298.1 128.7 257.9 86.5 23.5 23.4 Other (1) 626 628 148.6 123.1 91.3 68.2 25.5 27.2 -------- -------- Total Allstate brand 6,265 6,032 126.5 82.6 72.8 27.2 23.3 23.8 Encompass brand Standard auto (3) 295 309 75.3 61.1 5.8 0.6 30.5 25.6 Non-standard auto (Deerbrook) 31 39 64.5 79.5 3.2 2.6 25.8 25.6 -------- -------- Auto 326 348 74.2 63.2 5.5 0.8 30.1 25.6 Homeowners 148 136 124.3 86.0 78.4 44.8 29.1 28.7 Other (1) 41 34 102.4 73.5 34.1 2.9 29.3 26.5 -------- -------- Total Encompass brand 515 518 90.9 69.9 28.8 12.6 29.7 26.4 -------- -------- Allstate Protection $6,780 $6,550 123.8 81.6 69.4 26.0 23.8 24.0 ======== ======== -------------------------------------------------------- ($ in Est. Est. Est. Est. millions) 2005 2004 2005 2004 2005 2004 2005 2004 -------- -------- ------ ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- Effect of Catastrophe Losses on the Expense Premiums Earned Loss Ratio(2) Loss Ratio Ratio ----------------- ------------- ------------- ---------- Allstate brand Standard auto $11,225 $10,639 65.4 63.3 2.6 0.8 23.9 23.8 Non-standard auto 1,248 1,391 58.9 54.6 2.2 0.9 21.0 20.1 -------- -------- Auto 12,473 12,030 64.8 62.3 2.6 0.8 23.6 23.4 Homeowners 4,301 3,966 131.6 75.3 90.7 35.5 22.9 22.5 Other (1) 1,885 1,851 89.9 82.3 33.1 24.8 25.7 27.0 -------- -------- Total Allstate brand 18,659 17,847 82.7 67.3 26.0 11.0 23.7 23.5 Encompass brand Standard auto 893 909 67.6 61.4 1.9 0.8 30.7 28.0 Non-standard auto (Deerbrook) 97 124 73.2 78.2 1.0 0.8 27.8 25.8 -------- -------- Auto 990 1,033 68.2 63.4 1.8 0.8 30.4 27.8 Homeowners 431 394 78.2 71.3 31.8 21.0 29.7 29.7 Other (1) 121 104 81.0 85.6 14.1 2.9 28.1 28.8 -------- -------- Total Encompass brand 1,542 1,531 72.0 67.0 11.2 6.2 30.0 28.3 -------- -------- Allstate Protection $20,201 $19,378 81.9 67.3 24.8 10.7 24.1 23.9 ======== ======== (1) Other includes involuntary auto, commercial lines and other personal lines. (2) Loss Ratio comparisons on this exhibit are impacted by the relative level of prior year reserve reestimates. Please refer to the "Effect of Pretax Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio" table (page 14) for detailed reserve reestimate information. The Total Allstate brand combined ratio comparisons to prior period are adversely impacted by 1.1 points for the nine months ending September 30. (3) The Encompass brand standard auto loss ratio in the third quarter of 2005 was unfavorably impacted as a result of adopting procedures for establishing loss reserve estimates consistent with those used for the Allstate brand. In the third quarter of 2004 Encompass brand standard auto loss ratio included lower estimates of current year claim severity. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION PROPERTY-LIABILITY EFFECT OF PRETAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO Three Months Ended September 30, ------------------------------------------------- Effect of Pretax Reserve Pretax Re-estimates on the Reserve Re-estimates (1) Combined Ratio ------------------------ ------------------------ Est. Est. ($ in millions) 2005 2004 2005 2004 ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Auto $(276) $(194) (4.1) (3.0) Homeowners (12) (5) (0.2) (0.1) Other 4 (31) 0.1 (0.4) ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Allstate Protection (284) (230) (4.2) (3.5) Discontinued Lines and Coverages (2) 134 314 2.0 4.8 ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Property- Liability $(150) $84 (2.2) 1.3 ============ =========== =========== ============ Allstate brand $(275) $(233) (4.1) (3.6) Encompass brand (9) 3 (0.1) 0.1 ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Allstate Protection $(284) $(230) (4.2) (3.5) ============ =========== =========== ============ Nine Months Ended September 30, ------------------------------------------------- Effect of Pretax Reserve Pretax Re-estimates on the Reserve Re-estimates (1) Combined Ratio ------------------------ ------------------------ Est. Est. ($ in millions) 2005 2004 2005 2004 ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Auto $(501) $(551) (2.5) (2.8) Homeowners (4) (112) - (0.6) Other 21 (14) 0.1 (0.1) ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Allstate Protection (484) (677) (2.4) (3.5) Discontinued Lines and Coverages 162 636 0.8 3.3 ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Property- Liability $(322) $(41) (1.6) (0.2) ============ =========== =========== ============ Allstate brand $(485) $(682) (2.4) (3.5) Encompass brand 1 5 - - ------------ ----------- ----------- ------------ Allstate Protection $(484) $(677) (2.4) (3.5) ============ =========== =========== ============ (1) Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses. (2) For further information see the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS Three Months Nine Months Ended Ended September 30, September 30, ------------------ ----------------- Est. Percent Est. Percent ($ in millions) 2005 2004 Change 2005 2004 Change ---------- ------- ------- -------- -------- ------- Life Products (1) Interest-sensitive life $380 $375 1.3 $1,107 $1,095 1.1 Traditional 86 94 (8.5) 235 273 (13.9) Other 110 84 31.0 317 268 18.3 ---------- ------- -------- -------- 576 553 4.2 1,659 1,636 1.4 Annuities Fixed annuities - deferred 1,062 2,011 (47.2) 3,984 4,613 (13.6) Fixed annuities - immediate 165 166 (0.6) 639 554 15.3 Variable annuities 452 330 37.0 1,315 1,220 7.8 ---------- ------- -------- -------- 1,679 2,507 (33.0) 5,938 6,387 (7.0) Institutional Products (2) Indexed funding agreements - - - - 1 (100.0) Funding agreements backing medium-term notes - 850 (100.0) 2,423 3,448 (29.7) Other - 3 (100.0) - 3 (100.0) ---------- ------- -------- -------- - 853 (100.0) 2,423 3,452 (29.8) Bank Deposits 122 104 17.3 368 281 31.0 ---------- ------- -------- -------- Total $2,377 $4,017 (40.8) $10,388 $11,756 (11.6) ========== ======= ======== ======== (1) To conform to current period presentations, certain prior period balances have been reclassified. (2) There were no sales of institutional products during the third quarter of 2005. Institutional product sales are viewed as opportunistic. THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION September 30, December 31, ($ in millions, except par value data) 2005 (Est.) 2004 ------------- ------------ Assets Investments Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $95,934 and $90,657) $99,707 $95,715 Equity securities, at fair value (cost $4,770 and $4,566) 6,095 5,895 Mortgage loans 8,485 7,856 Short-term 3,274 4,133 Other 1,845 1,931 ------------- ------------ Total investments (1) 119,406 115,530 Cash 408 414 Premium installment receivables, net 4,959 4,721 Deferred policy acquisition costs 5,610 4,968 Reinsurance recoverables, net 4,552 4,323 Accrued investment income 1,094 1,014 Property and equipment, net 1,024 1,018 Goodwill 825 825 Other assets 3,347 2,535 Separate Accounts 14,906 14,377 ------------- ------------ Total assets $156,131 $149,725 ============= ============ Liabilities Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense $23,469 $19,338 Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits 12,390 11,754 Contractholder funds 58,952 55,709 Unearned premiums 10,490 9,932 Claim payments outstanding 708 787 Other liabilities and accrued expenses 10,576 9,842 Deferred income taxes 329 829 Short-term debt - 43 Long-term debt 4,892 5,291 Separate Accounts 14,906 14,377 ------------- ------------ Total liabilities 136,712 127,902 ------------- ------------ Shareholders' equity Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued - - Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 650 million and 683 million shares outstanding 9 9 Additional capital paid-in 2,823 2,685 Retained income 24,129 24,043 Deferred compensation expense (135) (157) Treasury stock, at cost (250 million and 217 million shares) (9,343) (7,372) Accumulated other comprehensive income: Unrealized net capital gains and losses 2,301 2,988 Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments 24 16 Minimum pension liability adjustment (389) (389) ------------- ------------ Total accumulated other comprehensive income 1,936 2,615 ------------- ------------ Total shareholders' equity 19,419 21,823 ------------- ------------ Total liabilities and shareholders' equity $156,131 $149,725 ============= ============ (1) Total investments includes $41,007 for Property-Liability, $75,881 for Allstate Financial and $2,518 for Corporate and Other investments at September 30, 2005. Total investments includes $40,267 for Property-Liability, $72,530 for Allstate Financial and $2,733 for Corporate and Other investments at December 31, 2004.
We consider the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to hurricanes to be major metropolitan centers near the eastern and gulf coasts of the United States, and the greatest areas of potential catastrophe losses due to earthquakes to be California, areas surrounding the New Madrid fault system in the Midwest and faults in and surrounding Seattle, Washington and Charleston, South Carolina. In addition, in various states we are required to participate in assigned risk plans, reinsurance facilities and joint underwriting associations that provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. Because of our participation, we may be exposed to losses that surpass the capitalization of these facilities and/or to assessments from these facilities.
Possible actions we may undertake to reduce our catastrophe exposure include additional purchases of reinsurance to mitigate potential exposure to major hurricane and earthquake catastrophe risks, including assessments from the California Earthquake Authority ("CEA"); changes in rates, deductibles and coverage; limitations on new business writings; changes to underwriting requirements; non-renewal or withdrawal from certain markets; and/or pursuing alternative markets for placement of business or segments of risk exposure in certain areas.
We utilize reinsurance in order to reduce exposure to catastrophe risk and to support the required statutory surplus and the insurance financial strength ratings of certain subsidiaries, such as Allstate Floridian Insurance Company and Allstate New Jersey Insurance Company. We purchase significant reinsurance where we believe the greatest benefit will be achieved in terms of our aggregate countrywide exposure limits based on our ERM model. The price and terms of reinsurance are also considered in the purchase process, and whether the price can be included in future rates charged to policyholders. Effective June 1, 2005, multi-year reinsurance treaties cover excess catastrophe losses in seven states: Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Florida. The cost of these treaties is approximately $190 million per year, or $48 million per quarter. The retentions and limits on these treaties are shown in the following table.
State % Placed Retention Limit ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Connecticut 95 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 New Jersey 95 100,000,000 100,000,000 New York 90 750,000,000 1,000,000,000 North Carolina 10 80,000,000 175,000,000 South Carolina 10 97,000,000 435,000,000 Texas(2) 95 320,000,000 550,000,000 Florida 90 Excess of FHCF 900,000,000 Reimbursement(1) (1) The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund ("FHCF") provides 90% reimbursement of qualifying losses up to an estimated maximum. For the current season this maximum is estimated to be $871 million in excess of Allstate's retention of $233 million for the two largest hurricanes and $78 million for other hurricanes. (2) Reinsurance is recoverable by Allstate Texas Lloyd's, a syndicate insurance company, which has a 100% reinsurance agreement with Allstate Insurance Company ("AIC") providing net benefits to AIC as reinsurer.
These reinsurance treaties provide coverage per occurrence above each respective retention to the respective maximum coverage limit according to the percent placed. Each of these treaties also has a reinstatement provision.
Our exposure to certain potential losses from catastrophes is limited by our participation in various state facilities, such as the CEA, which provides insurance for California earthquake losses; the FHCF, which provides reimbursements on certain qualifying Florida hurricane losses; and other state facilities, such as wind pools.
We also continue to advocate for public policy solutions to help the country become better prepared for and protected from catastrophes. These solutions include the development of state and national catastrophe funds; improved prevention and mitigation measures, including the adoption of more effective land use policies and stronger building codes; enhanced public education about catastrophe risk; better catastrophe relief, recovery and rebuilding processes; and a rigorous process of continuous improvement.
Hurricane Katrina made initial landfall in Florida on August 25, 2005 and again in the states of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama on August 29, 2005. Hurricane Katrina is the costliest catastrophe in the United States' history. Based on historical recorded tropical storm activity, a catastrophe modeler estimated that the likelihood of a hurricane surpassing this level of losses in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama will occur has an annual probability of 0.2%. Our pre-tax estimate of Hurricane Katrina catastrophe claims and claims expense is $3.68 billion.
Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates include losses from approximately 216,000 expected claims of which over 175,000 claims have been reported as of October 13 on our standard auto, non-standard auto, homeowners, commercial and other products. The pre-tax estimates of catastrophe claims and claims expense by product are shown in the following table.
Our total catastrophe claims and claims expense estimate by state is approximately 70% in Louisiana, 24% in Mississippi, 4% in Alabama and 2% in Florida and other states.
Hurricane Rita made landfall near the border of Texas and Louisiana on September 24, 2005. Our pre-tax estimate of Hurricane Rita catastrophe claims and claims expense is $850 million, net of reinsurance. It is expected to be in the top seven most expensive hurricanes in United States history.
Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates include losses from approximately 90,000 expected claims of which over 62,000 claims have been reported as of October 13, on our standard auto, non-standard auto, homeowners, commercial and other products. The pre-tax estimates of claims and claims expense by product are shown in the following table.
($ in millions) Allstate brand Encompass brand Total Hurricane Rita Standard auto $21 $1 $22 Non-standard auto 6 -- 6 Homeowners 672 11 683 Other 102 -- 102 ------------------------------------------------ Total personal lines $801 $12 $813 Commercial 37 N/A 37 ------------------------------------------------ Total loss estimate, net of reinsurance $838 $12 $850 ================================================ ------------------------------------------------ Total loss estimate, gross of reinsurance $1,043 $12 $1,055 Reinsurance recoverable(1) 205 -- 205 ------------------------------------------------ Total loss estimate, net of reinsurance $838 $12 $850 ================================================ (1) Reinsurance is recoverable by Allstate Texas Lloyd's, a syndicate insurance company, which has a 100% reinsurance agreement with Allstate Insurance Company ("AIC") providing net benefits to AIC as reinsurer.
Our estimates of catastrophe claims and claims expense ("loss") are generally based on claim adjuster inspections and the application of historical loss development factors to the extent we have been able to complete inspections in areas impacted by the hurricanes. However, in areas where we have not yet been able to complete inspections, or we have reason to believe that our historical loss development factors may not be predictive, we have relied on analysis of actual claim notices received compared to the total policies in force, as well as visual, governmental and third party information including aerial photos, area observations and data on wind speeds and flood depth to the extent available. In the normal course of business, we may also supplement our claims processes by utilizing third party adjusters, appraisers, engineers, inspectors, other professionals and information sources to assess and settle catastrophe claims.
Our catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates are calculated in accordance with the coverage provided by our policies. Allstate's homeowners policies specifically exclude coverage for losses caused by flood, but generally provide coverage for physical damage caused by wind or wind driven rain. Our homeowners estimates, therefore, do not include estimates for losses caused by flood. Auto policyholders generally have coverage for physical damage due to flood if they have purchased optional auto comprehensive coverage.
Catastrophe claims and claims expense estimates also include an accrual of $37 million for anticipated assessments from various state facilities, including $33 million for a regular assessment from the Louisiana Citizens Property Insurance Corporation ("LA Citizens"). LA Citizens was created to provide insurance coverage to individuals or entities that otherwise are unable to purchase such coverage from private insurers. LA Citizens has estimated plan losses, and is thereby able to levy regular and emergency assessments to participating companies and policyholders, respectively. Insurers are permitted to recoup a regular assessment through a surcharge to policyholders. These recoupments will be recorded in the consolidated financial statements as they are billed. Insurers are required to collect the emergency assessments, of which there have been none, directly from residential property policyholders and remit them to LA Citizens as they are collected.
Our reserving process takes into account known facts and interpretations of circumstances, factors including our experience with similar catastrophes, actual claims paid, historical trends involving claim payment patterns, pending levels of unpaid claims, loss management programs, product mix, contractual terms, law changes, court decisions, changes to regulatory requirements and economic conditions. The effects of inflation are implicitly considered in the reserving process.
Underwriting losses were also impacted by an estimate of billed but uncollectible premiums and policies expected to be canceled by the policyholder, which decreased Property-Liability premiums earned by $2 million and premiums written by $14 million. In addition, as a result of lower anticipated financial results for 2005, expenses related to employee incentives have been reduced by $35 million.
Allstate is defending several matters filed in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Several statewide class action lawsuits are pending against Allstate in Louisiana and Mississippi, as well as a suit by the Mississippi Attorney General, asserting that the flood exclusion found in Allstate's and other insurance companies' policies is either ambiguous, unenforceable as unconscionable or contrary to public policy, or inapplicable to the damage suffered in the wake of Hurricane Katrina. The suits seek primarily declaratory relief and, in some cases, damages in an unspecified amount. Additionally, in connection with a petition for injunctive relief filed by the Texas Attorney General, Allstate is subject to an order temporarily preventing it from denying claims for loss of use (additional living expense) caused by Hurricane Rita if the insured property is rendered untenantable, regardless of whether direct physical loss or physical damage to the property occurred. A temporary injunction hearing is set for October 20 and October 24, 2005. Allstate denies that there is coverage under these circumstances. These lawsuits are in various stages of development and Allstate intends to vigorously defend them. The outcome of these disputes is currently uncertain.
The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from insurance coverage that we no longer write and results for certain commercial and other businesses in run-off. Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other discontinued lines claims is reported in this segment. This segment is managed by a designated group of professionals with expertise in claims handling, policy coverage interpretation and exposure identification. As part of its responsibilities, this group is also regularly engaged in policy buybacks, settlements and reinsurance assumed and ceded commutations. The underwriting results of this segment are shown in the following table.
Underwriting loss of $136 million in the third quarter of 2005 was primarily related to a $139 million re-estimate of asbestos reserves. The underwriting loss in the third quarter of 2004 and the first nine months of 2004 was primarily related to re-estimates of asbestos reserves and a related increase in the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance recoverables.
During the quarter, we completed our annual comprehensive "ground up" review of reserves for the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment. This review employed established industry and actuarial best practices within the context of the legal, legislative and economic environment, and it was conducted in addition to quarterly assessments in which we review reserves to determine if any intervening significant events or developments require adjustments to reserves. Reserve re-estimates are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined.
Est. September 30, 2005 -------------------------------------- ($ in millions) Number of Est. Net % of Active Asbestos Asbestos Policyholders Reserves Reserves ------------- ------------- ---------- Direct policyholders(1) -Primary 50 $19 1% -Excess 333 242 16 ------------- ------------- ---------- Total direct policyholders 383 261 17% ============= Assumed reinsurance 230 16 Incurred but not reported claims ("IBNR") 1,001 67 ------------- ---------- Total net reserves $1,492 100% ============= ========== Reserve additions -First Quarter $- -Second Quarter - -Third Quarter 139 ------------- Nine months ended September 30 $139 ============= Net survival ratio(2) -Annual 10.4 -3-Year 11.7 Net survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements(2) -Annual 31.9 -3-Year 29.2 December 31, 2004 -------------------------------------- ($ in millions) Number of Net % of Active Asbestos Asbestos Policyholders Reserves Reserves ------------- ------------- ---------- Direct policyholders(1) -Primary 52 $23 2% -Excess 322 297 20 ------------- ------------- ---------- Total direct policyholders 374 320 22% ============= Assumed reinsurance 222 15 Incurred but not reported claims ("IBNR") 922 63 ------------- ---------- Total net reserves $1,464 100% ============= ========== Reserve additions -First Quarter $- -Second Quarter 216 -Third Quarter 247 ------------- Nine months ended September 30 $463 ============= Net survival ratio(2) -Annual 18.8 -3-Year 13.9 Net survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements(2) -Annual 25.5 -3-Year 28.4 (1) During the first nine months of 2005, 34 direct primary and excess policyholders reported new claims, and claims of 25 policyholders were closed, so the number of direct policyholders with active claims increased by 9. (2) Our survival ratios are at levels we consider indicative of a strong asbestos reserve position.
Reserve additions for asbestos in the third quarter of 2005, totaling $139 million, were primarily for products-related coverage. They were essentially a result of a continuing level of increased claim activity being reported by excess insurance policyholders with existing active claims, excess policyholders with new claims, and re-estimates of liabilities for increased assumed reinsurance cessions, as ceding companies (other insurance carriers) also experienced increased claim activity. Increased claim activity over prior estimates has also resulted in an increased estimate for future claims reported. These trends are consistent with the trends of other carriers in the industry, which we believe are related to increased publicity and awareness of coverage, ongoing litigation, potential congressional activity, and bankruptcy actions. However, we are somewhat encouraged that the pace of industry asbestos claim activity seems to be slowing, perhaps reflecting various recent state legislative actions and increased legal scrutiny of the legitimacy of claims. IBNR now represents 67% of total net asbestos reserves, 4 points higher than at December 31, 2004. IBNR provides for estimated probable future unfavorable reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current and new policyholders and ceding companies.
Our exposure to non-products-related losses represents approximately 5% of total asbestos case reserves. We do not anticipate significant changes in this percentage as insureds' retentions associated with excess insurance programs, which are our principal direct insurance, and assumed reinsurance exposure are seldom exceeded. We did not write direct primary insurance on policyholders with the potential for significant non-products-related loss exposure.
To further limit our asbestos exposure, we have significant reinsurance, primarily to reduce our exposure to loss in our direct excess insurance business. Our reinsurance recoverables are estimated to be approximately 38% of our gross estimated loss reserves.
As of September 30, 2005, the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance is $213 million, or approximately 17% of total recoverables from reinsurers in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment.
We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders. The ultimate cost of losses may vary materially from recorded amounts, which are based on our best estimates, due to uncertainties, such as changes in the legal, legislative or economic environment, which we are unable to predict.
Claims and claims expense ("loss") ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense to premiums earned. Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses.
Combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense, amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned. The difference between 100% and the combined ratio represents underwriting (loss) income as a percentage of premiums earned.
Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense and other costs and expenses in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment to Property-Liability premiums earned. The sum of the effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the combined ratio and the Allstate Protection combined ratio is equal to the Property-Liability combined ratio.
Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio is the percentage of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expenses to premiums earned.
-- adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.
We use operating (loss) income to evaluate our results of operations. It reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, (loss) gain on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items. Realized capital gains and losses and (loss) gain on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Moreover, we reclassify periodic settlements on non-hedge derivative instruments into operating (loss) income to report them in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, replicated assets or product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) and by doing so, appropriately reflect trends in product performance. Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating (loss) income as the denominator. We use adjusted measures of operating (loss) income and operating (loss) income per diluted share in incentive compensation. Operating (loss) income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.
In this press release, we provide guidance on operating income per diluted share for 2005 (assuming a level of average expected catastrophe losses used in pricing for the remainder of the year). A reconciliation of this measure to net income is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of realized capital gains and losses including periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which can vary substantially from one period to another and may have a significant impact on net income. Because a forecast of realized capital gains and losses is not possible, neither is a forecast of the effects of amortization of DAC and DSI on realized capital gains and losses nor income taxes. The other reconciling items between operating income and net income on a forward-looking basis are a non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax, loss on disposition of operations, after-tax, and cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle, after-tax, which we assume to be zero for the remainder of the year.
Underwriting (loss) income is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense ("losses"), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure in its evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net (loss) income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting (loss) income should not be considered as a substitute for net (loss) income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business. A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting (loss) income to net (loss) income is provided in the Segment Results table.
Operating income return on equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of shareholders' equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-month period, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity. We believe that this measure is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management: the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized capital gains and losses and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, and non-recurring items that are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Return on equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. The following table shows the reconciliation.
Book value per diluted share excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing shareholders' equity after excluding the net impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities and related DAC and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares outstanding. Book value per diluted share is the most directly comparable GAAP ratio.
We use the trend in book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities in conjunction with book value per diluted share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods. We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers. We note that book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique. Book value per diluted share excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities should not be considered as a substitute for book value per diluted share and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business. The following table shows the reconciliation.
Gross margin represents life and annuity premiums and contract charges and net investment income, less contract benefits and interest credited to contractholder funds. We use gross margin as a component of our evaluation of the profitability of Allstate Financial's life insurance and financial product portfolio. Additionally, for many of our products, including fixed annuities, variable life and annuities, and interest-sensitive life insurance, the amortization of DAC and DSI is determined based on actual and expected gross margin. Gross margin is comprised of three components that are utilized to further analyze the business; they include the investment margin, benefit margin, and contract charges and fees. We believe gross margin and its components are useful to investors because they allow for the evaluation of income components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Gross margin, investment margin and benefit margin should not be considered as a substitute for net income and do not reflect the overall profitability of the business. Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to these margins. Gross margin is reconciled to Allstate Financial's GAAP net income in the following table.
Three Months Nine Months Ended Ended September 30, September 30, ----------------- ----------------- ($ in millions) Est. Est. 2005 2004 2005 2004 -------- -------- -------- -------- Life and annuity premiums and contract charges $505 $508 $1,525 $1,508 Net investment income 974 866 2,838 2,520 Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments 14 15 49 33 Contract benefits (395) (401) (1,209) (1,174) Interest credited to contractholder funds(1) (597) (501) (1,719) (1,430) -------- -------- -------- -------- Gross margin 501 487 1,484 1,457 Amortization of DAC and DSI (139) (120) (398) (375) Operating costs and expenses (142) (143) (454) (465) Restructuring and related charges (1) (1) (1) (5) Income tax expense (63) (72) (189) (203) Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax 17 (33) 33 (90) DAC and DSI amortization relating to capital gains and losses, after-tax (2) (15) (106) (28) Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax - - (22) - Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax (10) (10) (32) (21) Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax (7) (5) (11) (22) Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, after-tax - - - (175) -------- -------- -------- -------- Allstate Financial net income $154 $88 $304 $73 ======== ======== ======== ======== (1) Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $11 million in the third quarter of 2005 and $65 million for the first nine months of 2005 compared to $4 million in the third quarter of 2004 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004.
Investment margin is a component of gross margin. Investment margin represents the excess of net investment income and periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments over interest credited to contractholder funds and the implied interest on life contingent immediate annuities included in Allstate Financial's reserve for life-contingent contract benefits. Amortization of DSI is excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating investment margin. We use investment margin to evaluate Allstate Financial's profitability related to the difference between investment returns on assets supporting certain products and the amounts credited to customers ("spread") during a fiscal period.
Benefit margin is a component of gross margin. Benefit margin represents life and life-contingent immediate annuity premiums, cost of insurance contract charges and variable annuity fees for contract guarantees less contract benefits. Benefit margin excludes the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities, which is included in the calculation of investment margin. We use benefit margin to evaluate Allstate Financial's underwriting performance, as it reflects the profitability of our products with respect to mortality or morbidity risk during a fiscal period.
Three Months Ended September 30, ------------------------------------------------------- Contract Investment Benefit Charges and Gross Margin Margin Fees Margin ------------- -------------- -------------- ----------- (in millions) Est. Est. Est. Est. 2005 2004(2) 2005 2004(2) 2005 2004(2) 2005 2004 ----- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------- ----- ----- Life and annuity premiums $- $- $218 $247 $- $- $218 $247 Contract charges - - 158 147 129 114 287 261 Net investment income 974 866 - - - - 974 866 Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments 14 15 - - - - 14 15 Contract benefits (135) (133) (260) (268) - - (395) (401) Interest credited to contract- holder funds(1) (597) (501) - - - - (597) (501) ----- ------- ------ ------- ------ ------- ----- ----- $256 $247 $116 $126 $129 $114 $501 $487 ===== ======= ====== ======= ====== ======= ===== ===== (1) Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $11 million in the third quarter of 2005 and $4 million in the third quarter of 2004. (2) Prior periods have been restated to conform to current period presentations. In connection therewith, fees related to guaranteed minimum death, accumulation, withdrawal and income benefits on variable annuities have been reclassified to benefit margin from maintenance charges. Additionally, amounts previously presented as maintenance charges and surrender charges are now presented in the aggregate as contract charges and fees. Further, the Allstate Workplace Division margins were conformed. These reclassifications did not result in a change in gross margin. Nine Months Ended September 30, ----------------------------------------------------------- Contract Investment Benefit Charges and Gross Margin Margin Fees Margin --------------- ------------- ------------- --------------- (in Est. Est. Est. Est. millions) 2005 2004(2) 2005 2004(2) 2005 2004(2) 2005 2004 ------- ------- ----- ------- ----- ------- ------- ------- Life and annuity premiums $- $- $689 $745 $- $- $689 $745 Contract charges - - 465 420 371 343 836 763 Net investment income 2,838 2,520 - - - - 2,838 2,520 Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments 49 33 - - - - 49 33 Contract benefits (398) (391) (811) (783) - - (1,209) (1,174) Interest credited to contract- holder funds(1) (1,719) (1,430) - - - - (1,719) (1,430) ------- ------- ----- ------- ----- ------- ------- ------- $770 $732 $343 $382 $371 $343 $1,484 $1,457 ======= ======= ===== ======= ===== ======= ======= ======= (1) Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin. Amortization of DSI totaled $65 million in the first nine months of 2005 and $25 million in the first nine months of 2004. (2) Prior periods have been restated to conform to current period presentations. In connection therewith, fees related to guaranteed minimum death, accumulation, withdrawal and income benefits on variable annuities have been reclassified to benefit margin from maintenance charges. Additionally, amounts previously presented as maintenance charges and surrender charges are now presented in the aggregate as contract charges and fees. Further, the Allstate Workplace Division margins were conformed. These reclassifications did not result in a change in gross margin.
We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures. Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.
Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums earned is a GAAP measure. Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.
Three Months Nine Months Ended Ended September 30, September 30, ----------------- ----------------- ($ in millions) Est. Est. 2005 2004 2005 2004 -------- -------- -------- -------- Total Premiums and deposits $2,377 $4,017 $10,388 $11,756 Deposits to contractholder funds (1,783) (3,520) (8,614) (10,080) Deposits to separate accounts (379) (259) (1,101) (949) Change in unearned premiums and other adjustments 3 9 16 18 -------- -------- -------- -------- Life and annuity premiums(1) $218 $247 $689 $745 ======== ======== ======== ======== (1) Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of est. $287 million and $261 million for the three months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively, and est. $836 million and $763 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component of the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations line item life and annuity premiums and contract charges.
New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate Agency proprietary distribution channel. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes annual premiums on new life insurance policies, initial premiums and deposits on annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank, sales of other companies' mutual funds, and excludes renewal premiums. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the third quarter of 2005 and third quarter of 2004 totaled est. $546 million and $520 million, respectively. New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004 totaled est. $1.65 billion and $1.53 billion, respectively.
This press release contains forward-looking statements about our operating income for 2005 and about Allstate's ability to pay dividends, service debt, and repurchase stock in the future. These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management's estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements based on the risk factors described below.
In addition to the normal risk of business, we are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including those listed below, which apply to us as an insurer and a provider of financial services.
-- These hurricanes occurred near the end of the quarter, with Rita following relatively soon after Katrina. -- Our policyholders' ability to report and our ability to adjust claims have been impeded by the extent of the devastation, the size of the area affected and the fact that some communities were hit by both storms. -- Extensive and widespread floods in the New Orleans area and related government restrictions on access to the area have lengthened the claims adjusting process, complicating our ability to estimate losses. -- It is particularly difficult to assess the extent of damage in the initial stages of adjusting residential property losses. -- Our estimate for the ultimate costs of repairs may not prove to be correct because of increased demand for services and supplies in the areas affected by a hurricane. -- The number of IBNR claims may be greater or less than anticipated. -- The large number and nature of the claims and the need to have more claims adjusters to handle claims has increased pressure on our catastrophe claims settlement management process. -- Litigation has been filed by several parties including policyholders and state attorneys general, which if ultimately decided against us, could lead to a material increase in our catastrophe claims and claims expense estimate.
-- We are currently monitoring developments with respect to various state facilities such as guaranty funds, LA Citizens, the Mississippi Windstorm Underwriting Association, the Mississippi Residential Underwriting Association, the Alabama Insurance Underwriting Association, the Texas FAIR Plan Association and the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association. The ultimate impact of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita on these facilities is currently uncertain, but could result in the facilities recognizing a financial deficit or a financial deficit greater than the level currently estimated. They may, in turn, have the ability to assess participating insurers when financial deficits occur, adversely affecting our results of operations. These facilities are generally designed so that the ultimate cost is borne by policyholders, however the exposure to assessments and the availability of recoupments or premium rate increases may not offset each other in our financial statements. Moreover, even if they do offset each other, they may not offset each other in the financial statements for the same fiscal period due to the ultimate timing of the assessments and recoupments or premium rate increases, as well as the possibility that affected policies will not be renewed in subsequent years.
-- We expect the productivity of our Allstate agents and independent agents in portions of the states of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Texas, to be severely affected by the catastrophes that occurred in the quarter.
-- Financial strength ratings are important factors in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and generally have an effect on an insurance company's business. On an ongoing basis, rating agencies review the financial performance and condition of insurers and could downgrade or change the outlook on an insurer's ratings due to, for example, a change in an insurer's statutory capital; a change in a rating agency's determination of the amount of risk-adjusted capital required to maintain a particular rating; an increase in the perceived risk of an insurer's investment portfolio; a reduced confidence in management or a host of other considerations that may or may not be under the insurer's control. In September 2005, Standard and Poor's placed the ratings of The Allstate Corporation, AIC, ALIC and all rated affiliates on "CreditWatch Negative" as a result of Hurricane Katrina. The insurance financial strength ratings of both AIC and ALIC are A+, AA and Aa2 from A.M. Best, Standard and Poor's and Moody's, respectively. Several other affiliates have been assigned their own financial strength ratings by one or more rating agencies. Because all of these ratings are subject to continuous review, the retention of these ratings cannot be assured. A multiple level downgrade in any of these ratings could have a material adverse effect on our sales, our competitiveness, the marketability of our product offerings, and our liquidity, operating results and financial condition.
-- We may continue to incur catastrophe losses in our homeowners insurance business in amounts in excess of those experienced this year, in excess of those that management projects would be incurred based on hurricane and earthquake losses which have a one percent probability of occurring on an annual aggregate countrywide basis, and in excess of those that modelers estimate would be incurred based on other levels of probability. In addition, while we believe that the actions we are taking to support continued growth in the homeowners business in a profitable and prudent manner will be successful over the long term, it is possible that they will have a negative impact on near-term growth and earnings. Homeowners premium growth rates and retention could be adversely impacted by adjustments to our business structure, size and underwriting practices in markets with significant catastrophe risk exposure. In addition, due to the elimination of cross-selling opportunities, new business growth in our auto lines could be lower than expected.
-- Loss costs in our Property-Liability business, including losses due to catastrophes such as hurricanes and earthquakes in the fourth quarter of 2005, may exceed management's projections. In particular, losses due to catastrophes may exceed the average expected level used in pricing.
-- Lower than projected interest rates and equity market returns could decrease consolidated net investment income, increase DAC amortization and reduce contract charges, investment margins and the profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.
-- Higher than projected interest rates could increase surrenders and withdrawals, increase DAC amortization and reduce the competitive position and profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.
-- The declaration of dividends, the completion of the $4 billion stock repurchase program that we announced in November 2004, and our ability to service debt are subject to the risks identified above and their impact on net income and cash flows. In addition, the declaration of dividends is subject to the discretion of our board of directors and its assessment of alternative uses of available funds. The completion of the stock repurchase program is subject to management discretion and assessment of alternative uses of funds and the market price of Allstate's common stock from time to time.
We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements. This press release contains unaudited financial information.
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) is the nation's largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the "You're In Good Hands With Allstate(R)" slogan, Allstate helps individuals in approximately 17 million households protect what they have today and better prepare for tomorrow through nearly 13,600 exclusive agencies and financial professionals in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services such as auto insurance and homeowners insurance through Allstate agencies, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800-Allstate(R). Encompass(SM) and Deerbrook(R) Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agencies. Allstate Financial Group provides life insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity, banking and retirement products designed for individual, institutional and worksite customers that are distributed through Allstate agencies, independent agencies, financial institutions and broker-dealers.
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